“Mark Droppers” To Track 26/09/2023

“Mark Droppers” To Track 26/09/2023


Copper And Five 68 Firm Northern Mile — 
66 (-2) Ground was softer than official going, now 3lb below last win mark (this season).

Cuban Breeze 79 5–6F AW? — 
77 (-2) Competitive off marks ranging from mid-low 80’s this season, and high 80’s to low 90’s last season. AW record much better.

Sound Of Iona 70 Firm 6F — 
67 (-3) Surprised to see her run at Ayr considering she loves quick ground, and Ayr was never going to be quick after all of that rain they had. Think she wants 6F at this stage in her career. 10lb’s below her last win mark, so she’s on a “winnable” mark, for when conditions go her way.

Golden Apollo 67 Good 6F — 
65 (-2) Another horse that probably wants a quicker surface, better record over 6F. A rain-softened 7F (and change) was probably a shade too far. Whether he’s currently on a winnable mark for those conditions remains to be seen, but he’s already dropped 13lb’s this season, and he’s now 5lb’s below his last turf win mark.

Kitai 91 6F Cut — 
90 (-1) Would’ve won her last 2 races had she not received stinkers in both. I always think the handicapper plays a dangerous game dropping the mark of a horse when they get as bad luck in running as Kitai did. Probably prefers dig in the ground, and with any luck they’ll find another 6F Fillies handicap to win.

Fools Rush In 82 Bass Rock? Cut 7–8F — 
81 (-1) Dropped 1lb for another good run here in Cl2 company. Would’ve finished closer had he not been held in for longer than he would’ve liked. Definitely on a winnable mark, they just need to find a couple of races for him to win now! 

Be Proud 79 5–6F Cut — 
78 (-1) I would’ve had a good bet on Be Proud if he’d have slipped into the Bronze Cup, but he unfortunately made it into the Silver Cup, and didn’t stand much of a chance against that calibre of horse, from what turned out to be a horrid draw. High drawn horses stood no chance, specifically in the Silver Cup. His two runs in this years Sky Bet Sunday Series would put him bang there in most 5–6F Cl4–3 calibre races.

Punchbowl Flyer 80 Soft/Heavy 6F Windsor? — 
77 (-3) No chance in the Silver Cup. Since ran a good race at Goodwood this week. Which shows he retains ability, and that was from a mark of 80, so he might get 1lb back from the handicapper next week (hopefully leave him alone/down 1lb though). As mentioned previously his Windsor record might suggest where he could win a race for the first time since 2021.

Lucky Man 87 Good 6F York? AW? — 
85 (-2) Another drawn high in the Silver Cup, so another that had no chance. Looks like a horse that has been campaigned for a target. I did think it was the Coral Sprint, but hopefully for Dakota Gold’s sake, he won’t get in the race. Though he could be one for next year’s many York 6F handicaps. He does have a fair AW record too.

Illusionist 83 York 5F Cut — 
80 (-3) Given his York record I’d be very shocked if he’s not in the ‘Copper Knight Winningmost horse’ 5F Handicap at the Finale York meeting. He finds himself a very well handicapped horse. He was a 1L 3rd off a mark of 90 in CL2 company this season, he’s now 10lb’s below that. Which is also 12lb’s below his very good 4th at Newcastle, in his last run last season, in what was an above average Cl2 race. It’s also 8lb’s below his last win mark (coincidentally a York 5F handicap), and 4lb’s below the mark he won the ‘Copper Knight…’ York 5F handicap from in 2021. A bit of cut probably preferable, but you’d imagine as long as it’s not rattling quick there won’t be a better handicapped horse than him in that race — famous last words.

Temple Bruer 82 Firm 6F — 
80 (-2) Shocker at Newmarket, but it’s easy to forget he wants the ground very quick, and that in August he ran crackers in both the St Great Wilfrid and the Constantine at York. Since dropped 4lb’s in 2 runs, if the handicapper continues at that rate, he’ll be very well handicapped very quickly for fast ground 6F handicaps.

Award Dancer 74 Newcastle — 
73 (-1) Just awaiting Newcastle at this point, his York run on the 10th September actually received a form boost this week by the 2nd Mathematician too.

Arecibo 91 5F Cut Haydock —
88 (-3) Very good form at Haydock throughout his career, including 2 starts ago when 3rd here in above average CL2 company, and he’s now 4lb below that mark too. Soft ground tomorrow will suit, the best jockey in the race is jocked-up, and this race is a poorer field than the 3rd mentioned above. If you discount the York run, he has been running well this season, so 3lb is a big drop for 1 bad run. I’ve actually already bet him for tomorrow’s race at Haydock, and he could very well end up in the ASOTR Lucky 15 so…

Other Tracked "Mark Dropped" Horses:

Dark Jedi 83–82 (-1)
Existent 93–90 (-3)
Lion Tower 89–87 (-2)

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