"Mark Droppers" To Track 19/09/2023

“Mark Droppers” To Track 19/09/2023

Previously Tracked (New marks/updates):

Award Dancer 72 Newcastle — 
74 (+2) Reasoning is in the 29/08/2023 Edition. As I mentioned in last week’s edition, I was shocked to see him finishing so close at York. Entered at York/Ayr this week, but I’m only tracking for the AW (Newcastle). Technically had his mark raised, but I wanted to reiterate that he remains tracked for AW races.

Highwaygrey 71 Firm Ground 10F — 
70 (-1) Reasoning is in the 05/09/2023 Edition, I'm willing to keep him tracked for a very quick 10F in the North. Ran at Redcar today, but with the current weather I am very sceptical with how ‘good’ the ground was. I have seen a tweet saying that, David Allan had said it’s riding soft. As well as Hurstwood (a quick ground horse) being pulled from the race after, because of the ‘going’.

Redrosezorro 63 Soft/Heavy Catterick 6F — 
60 (-3) Surprised they didn’t win last week, although I think the ground was on the g-s side of soft. Entered at Catterick on Saturday, but I would need it to stay Soft/Heavy. 3lb is a fairly big drop considering he won off of 63 earlier this season.

Fools Rush In 82 — 
82 (0) The run at Southwell in the Racing League, was a much better run. I had previously highlighted the Bass Rock as a potential target, and I still think it will be. He has a couple of interesting Ayr entries. The most interesting being the 7F entry on the Saturday. But, he has been declared in the Kilkerran Cup on the Thursday, but I do have worries over the 1m2 trip.

Dark Jedi 86 — 
83 (-3) Has never ran well on the AW before, so last time was an obvious place to try and lose a couple of pounds. He does have some interesting entries on Saturday, and the weather could certainly put the ground in his favour. We’ll see.

Twilight Madness 77 5–6F AW Campaign (Was Christmas-Southwell coincidental?) — 
74 (-3) Reasoning is in the 05/09/2023 Edition, has a much better AW record than Turf and has been running better than his finishing positions suggest on turf. Wait for an AW Campaign. Also worth noting it sounds like he exerted a lot of energy being a monkey going down to the start. Although i can’t confirm this, as I missed the race live.

Dakota Gold 100 Coral Sprint —  
97 (-3) Reasoning is in the 05/09/2023 Edition. -3lb’s is massive… Project Coral Sprint is well underway!

Snash 71 G-F/F Ground/AW 7F — 
68 (-3) Mark continues to fall, and 3lb’s is a big fall considering it was a soft ground apprentice race. Keep Snash tracked for a fast ground 7F race, or 7F on the AW.

Red Mirage 83 AW Campaign, Goodwood 2024?— 
81 (-2) Reasoning in the 29/08/2023 Edition, tracking him for an AW campaign. Mark becoming very low.

New Entries to the Mark Tracker:


Shimmering Sands 77 Quick 10F — 
75 (-2) I’m surprised the handicapper dropped Shimmering Sands anything for York, never mind 2lb’s. Was a clear non-trying ride, which came as a surprise to me. Looks like he likes quick ground, and I doubt they’ll veer too much from 10F’s. Still only 4, but the ride was very eye-catching.

Pocket The Packet 69 AW Campaign/New Headgear for Hanging Right? — 
67 (-2) Has now dropped 17lb’s since joining Tinkler’s yard, and finds himself 5lb’s below his last win mark. Has a turf record of 0/8 and an AW record of 5/12. I’ve been watching his recent runs, and he looks like a horse being plotted for an AW campaign. Held up/finding trouble, mostly hands and heels rides etc. He has hung under pressure a couple of times too, so it wouldn’t surprise me if they tried a new headgear combination on the AW.

Existent 95 5F Handicap Cut/AW  — 
93 (-2) Existent is becoming well handicapped now (1lb below last handicap win mark), and I think he wants a 5F handicap with some cut in the ground (good to soft etc). If we look at his last 3 runs on good to soft/soft over 5F: 
- 2nd to Lord (Cash Machine) Riddiford at Goodwood, when having to go widest off of 100.
- Staying on 5th at Ascot off of 102.
- 4L 7th in a G3 at Newmarket.
All 3 of these runs came this season.
He is entered at York on Saturday. If the ground stays on the slower side of good he could be very interesting, if turning up (he’s had a busy season). To put him being well handicapped into perspective: He gave Alligator Alley and Designer 7 and 8lb’s respectively at Goodwood, and finished ahead of both of them. At York, if they all turn up, he would receive 3lb’s from each of them (10 and 11lb swings).
As a potential “Plan B” he could be targeted towards AW handicap sprints, considering his AW record — this would also give him a chance for a break/to freshen up.

Freedom Day 84 Cl3/4 Soft Mile — 
81 (-3) I backed him on Saturday, and I actually liked his run. I wouldn’t say he ran badly at all, and he showed that he has a willing attitude. I was very surprised to see him get a 3lb drop. I think in Cl3/4 company he’ll be tough to beat in a soft ground mile from this mark — unless he comes up against someone mega well in. He has nice back form, and is still a very unexposed 3yo, so there’s potentially more improvement to come. He’s a previous Redcar winner, so connections could be targeting the Redcar Series Final Mile on Trophy Day. It is a Cl2, but last years renewal was far from vintage.

Afterlife 72 7F AW Campaign —
71 (-1) Afterlife ran okay (and even won) in some “above average” maidens for the Gosden’s, and Cheveley Park. He was allocated a mark of 83 for his 2yo efforts. He was then sold out of the Gosden yard to Robert Cowell’s. Where he was gelded and showed nothing in his 3 runs. He was dropped 11lb’s for those 3 poor runs, and was sold to Phil McEntee’s yard. 
Afterlife made his debut for Phil at Chester. He was sent off 50/1, and made a very eye-catching return. He turned in closer to last than first, had to come widest of all, and stayed on into 5th. As he was out of shot for most of the finish, I can only assume how hard he was exerted from the times he was in camera — I’d say there was plenty under the bonnet, and it was a run that indicated he wanted a step back up in trip. He is bred for further than 6F, and his only win came over 7F, so you’d imagine that the 7–8F range will be optimal.
You may be looking at his sole AW run, thinking “why the hell is he tracking Afterlife for an AW Campaign?”. But, Phil’s yard are definitely more prevalent at the AW courses. As per racingandsports.com.au:
Phil has had 339 wins, of which 239 have come at AW tracks (70.5%).
In Phil’s top 6 courses (most wins), 5 of them are AW courses.
Coincidence? Let’s See…

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