Who's Well In? Ayr Gold, Silver and Bronze Cup Edition

Who’s Well In? Ayr Gold, Silver and Bronze Cup Edition

@lovestheraces

What do I mean by “who’s well in”? Well, the Ayr Gold Cup is an "early closer" race, which means that the horse's race-carrying weight is decided weeks before the race . Whereas the weights of other races are  decided using the current ratings of the horses. Because of this, in "early closer" races we get horses that are:

Officially “Well in” — horses that are now rated higher than the mark used to decide the weight they carry.
And horses that are “Wrong at the weights” — horses that are now rated lower than the mark used to decide the weight they carry.

To give an example of this:

In the Ayr Gold Cup Juan Les Pins is currently rated 106, but he gets to race from a rating of 98 — meaning he is 8lb’s well in officially. Compare this to Escobar who is currently rated 94, and has to run from a rating of 100 — meaning he is officially 6lb’s wrong at the weights. This means that in the Ayr Gold Cup Juan Les Pins receives 2lb’s from Escobar, whereas if they raced against each other in a handicap next week, Juan Les Pins would have to give Escobar 12lb’s (106 vs 94). That means in the Ayr Gold Cup Juan Les Pins is 14lb’s better off vs Escobar than he should be.

How the information for the horses is written below:

“Name Of Horse” ‘Mark they run from’-’Mark they are rated currently’ (‘difference in the two ratings’ ‘+’ = well in, ‘-’ = wrong at the weights)

(If the horse you’re looking for isn’t featured, it means that they run from their current mark, meaning they are neither well in nor wrong at the weights.)

Ayr Gold Cup:

“Well In” Horses:

  • Juan Les Pins 98–106 (+8lb)
  • Significantly 94–96 (+2lb)

“Wrong at the weights” Horses:

  • Escobar 100–94 (-6lb)
  • Mondammej 94–88 (-6lb)
  • Rohaan 104–100 (-4lb)
  • Summerghand 107–104 (-3lb)
  • Albasheer 100–97 (-3lb)
  • Lethal Levi 96–93 (-3lb)
  • Desert Cop 104–102 (-2lb)
  • It Just Takes Time 91–89 (-2lb)
  • Aberama Gold 100–99 (-1lb)
  • Gweedore 100–99 (-1lb)
  • Paws For Thought 94–93 (-1lb)
  • Lequinto 91–90 (-1lb)


Ayr Silver Cup:

“Well In” Horses:

  • Rathbone 82–88 (+6lb)
  • Jump The Gun 80–83 (+3lb)
  • Call Me Ginger 90–91 (+1lb)
  • Aplomb 81–82 (+1lb)

“Wrong at the weights” Horses:

  • Lucky Man 90–87 (-3lb)
  • Punchbowl Flyer 83–80 (-3lb)
  • Dream For Gold 86–84 (-2lb)
  • Never Dark 81–79 (-2lb)
  • Bay Breeze 85–84 (-1lb)
  • Cairn Gorn 84–83 (-1lb)
  • Danzan 83–82 (-1lb)
  • Another Baar 82–81 (-1lb)
  • Fast And Loose 81–80 (-1lb)
  • Be Proud 80–79 (-1lb)


Bronze Gold Cup:

“Well In” Horses:

  • Sir Maxi 67–68 (+1lb)

“Wrong at the weights” Horses:

  • Yaaser 78–73 (-5lb)
  • Phoenix Beach 70–67 (-3lb)
  • Water Of Leith 70–67 (-3lb)
  • Novak 77–75 (-2lb)
  • Jordan Electrics 76–74 (-2lb)
  • Ghathanfar 75–73 (-2lb)
  • B Associates 73–71 (-2lb)
  • Borough 73–71 (-2lb)
  • American Affair 72–70 (-2lb)
  • After John 68–66 (-2lb)
  • Rock Melody 79–78 (-1lb)
  • Ascot Adventure 78–77 (-1lb)
  • Show Me Show Me 74–73 (-1lb)
  • Catch Cunningham 72–71 (-1lb)
  • Asadjumeirah 70–69 (-1lb)
  • Shallow Hal 68–67 (-1lb)
  • Claim The Stars 64–63 (-1lb)

Hopefully you find this information somewhat useful :)

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