Posts

Royal Ascot Eye-Catchers.

 @Mattysutcliffe Coventry Stakes - Camille Pissarro (11/22) Seemingly no fluke about Rashabar’s success, and we can upgrade it massively given the fact he pulled four and a half lengths clear of the next to finish on the far-side, with the 2nd-10th all coming up the near-side.  he second home on the far-side was the favourite Camille Pissarro, who was going well for a while and marginally struck the front between four and three furlongs. I’d imagine that the eventual beaten distance and finishing position will dissuade punters from him next time out, but we can certainly upgrade his effort on the far-side and I don’t think he was all that in love with the firmer going. He’s a half brother to Golden Horde who was beaten in this race in 2019 so I wouldn’t write him off just yet, and given he’s by Wootton Bassett out of a Pivotal dam, he could be one for the Prix Morny in August on an easier surface. Connections did it with another Wootton Bassett in River Tiber after he won...

“Mark Droppers” to Track  —  05/12/2023

  “Mark Droppers” to Track  —  05/12/2023 @lovestheraces First Street 144 Coral Cup? Up in trip! - 141 (-3)  Depsite Nicky Henderson’s Stable Tour comments earlier this season, I think First Street has shaped like he’s crying out for a step-up in trip this season. Worth noting Nico hasn’t asked much of a question in either of his runs. Looks like they’re trying to lower his handicap mark, and his previous runs over further read well too. Hecouldbetheone Cl3 (and below) Handicap Chases 118 - 116 (-2)  Jumped like a stag on chase debut, in a tough Cl3 handicap. There won’t be many better jumping performances from chase debutants this season, specifically  at the level he will be running at.   Ironically, a mistake at the last exaggerated his finishing position, and forced the handicappers hand. Could very well have left him alone on 118, and he looked like he was still carrying some extra weight,  so he should come on for the run fitness-wise. It could also e...

“Mark Droppers” to Track  —  21/11/2023 & 28/11/2023

“Mark Droppers” to Track  —  21/11/2023 & 28/11/2023 @lovestheraces 21/11/2023 Lord du Mesnil Heavy 3M Veterans 147 - 145 (-2) Lord Du Mesnil loves soft/heavy ground, and carries some very nice form, when on soft ground. He's 10 turning 11, so he might be kept to veterans chases this season. He's definitely good enough to win one, but he might need some further help from the handicapper. If they can get him down to the low 140's, he'll be dangerous in those types of races, especially with Lilly Pinchin likely to be on his back. Perfect Swiss 64 1M Newcastle/Southwell - 62 (-2) No run whatsoever behind runners, surprised they gave him 2lb's back.  He would be of interest at Newcastle/Southwell, over 1m. Way To Dubai Up in trip, maybe turf campaign? 91 - 90 (-1) Travelled well, before getting short of room behind Johnny James, stayed on under an easy enough ride, towards the finish. Looks to have been running over further in Germany, so will probably improve for ...

“Mark Droppers” to Track  —  24/10/2023, 31/10/2023, 07/11/2023 & 14/11/2023

“Mark Droppers” to Track  —  24/10/2023, 31/10/2023, 07/11/2023 & 14/11/2023 @lovestheraces 24/10/2023 Indian Creak 90 Windsor Soft 6F - 89 (-1) Tame ride. Keep tracked for a soft 6F at Windsor next season. Walking On Clouds 83 Whenever he’s randomly gambled on 6F AW - 82 (-1) Better AW record than turf record, now 1lb below last win mark, which was this season. He hasn't long been with shrewd connections, that are often on the right side of gambles.  No doubt in my mind he will win a race or two this AW season, but he'll definitely be gambled on when he does. Likely to be a big mover in the frail overnight markets, then continue to shorten until race time, you'll know when to back or not. Kitai 90 Soft 6F -  88 (-2) Becoming annoying the standard of ride she has been given in her recent runs. Now only 3lb above her impressive win at Pontefract.  Keep tracked for turf runs next season.   Migration 113 Heavy 1M - 112 (-1) Migration raced away from the dream far si...

Saturday Trixie

  @RacingWithMike 1:10 Cheltenham - Strictlyadancer 5/1 Today's pick comes in the shape of Strictlyadancer at Cheltenham in the staying chase for amateur riders which he was successful in in 2021. That success came off a mark of 115 and he is now off 122, his last winning mark that came at Haydock when notching up a hattrick. A 7lb claimer takes the ride today which is a huge bonus, effectively putting him on 115. He was fancied last time out at Cheltenham's showcase meeting off 121 but was perhaps given a little bit too much to do out the back and stayed on well through horses for 4th. That was his first defeat at Cheltenham on his 3rd visit. I fancy him to get back to winning ways today for Christian Williams. @MattySutcliffe 2:47 Uttoxeter - Sizing Pottsie 4/1 A risky selection given he’s not finished closer than 28L in his last five starts and has regressed since joining David Pipe, but the yard know how to bring one back to form and a subsequent wind  op may pay...

Breeders' Cup Lucky15

  @ JMHorseRacing 19:10 - Breeders Cup F&M (Turf) - Warm Heart 11/4 In an internationally represented renewal of the F&M Turf I believe Warm Heart could easily beat a strong field here. Warm Heart has been a revelation this season winning 5 races (1 listed, 1 G2 and 2 G1’s included) and forgetting the blip at The Curragh she’s been pretty much unbeatable. I’d say her best performances this season were at Ascot and at York where the ground was Good to Firm at both therefore she should get her optimum ground conditions. Not only does she have scintillating levels of ability but she’s also incredibly tenacious and I think if Ryan can get her in a battle (likely to be with Inspiral) there will only be one winner. I’d like Ryan to sit just off the pace and pounce on the home turn, if he does this correctly- she will not be beaten for the greatest trainer of all time. 🇮🇪 🐐 @lovestheraces 21:50 - Breeders Cup Turf - Auguste Rodin 2/1 Think the market has this race pre...

Breeders' Cup Preview - Matty Sutcliffe.

6:30  Big Ass Fans Breeders' Cup Dirt Mile (Grade 1) (3yo+) (Main Track) (Dirt)   (3yo+) Stage Raider 25/1 EW (2 places) On known form and ratings, then Cody's Wish should be a class apart and take this contest quite comfortably.  He won the race last season after beating the excellent Jackie's Warrior despite a wide trip coming from the rear at Saratoga, but his prep runs this season have been tad underwhelming and he's a shade of vulnerability that's worth taking him on for. He looked one paced when beaten 10L at Saratoga in August, failing to pick up after breaking slowly. He redeemed himself last time out, but he wasn't exactly electric having taken a while to reel in Accretive who failed to back  that form up when 8/5f in a G2 next time out. I've taken a wild play here on Stage Raider, who could be the one to expose any chinks in Cody Wish's armour. A half brother to JUSTIFY, the selection has always threatened to be promising after demolishing th...